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First principles thinking
Although strategy needs to be developed with a
pragmatic and realistic understanding of delivery constraints and
real world complexity, it is important that strategic thinking is
not constrained or limited by existing legacy norms and assumptions.
What Is It?
Going back to first principles is
simply a way of thinking that challenges implicit assumptions and
current approaches, and uses an objective assessment of available
evidence and knowledge to come to fresh logical conclusions.
Why Is It Useful?
Situations often arise where the
current state of affairs would never have been explicitly designed
or intentionally constructed. Rapidly changing environments or a
history of uncoordinated incremental interventions can result in
unintended consequences and behaviours driven by distorted
incentives.
In the same way, the rationale for a policy
programme or intervention can become lost or muddied over time. It
is possible for policies to acquire legitimacy simply by virtue of
being in place for long periods, with the original underlying
assumptions becoming so taken for granted that they become received
wisdom. Standard behaviours and ways of working are then in danger
of continuing unchanged despite these assumptions having long lost
their validity.
By going back to first principles it is possible
to take stock of a policy - how it fits with and drives towards
strategic outcomes, and whether it is still an effective means of
addressing the underlying problem. First principles thinking
encourages an explicit recognition of the drivers, incentives and
rationales driving behaviours and interactions in a system and
ultimately challenges resource allocation decisions.
The Necessary Conditions
Obtaining a mandate for the kind
of fundamental re-evaluation encouraged by first principles thinking
is one of the biggest challenges in strategy development. Those
working within clearly defined strategy projects commissioned by
high-level sponsors such as ministers may be given such a remit, but
those developing new strategies within their policy areas too often
come up against fixed boundaries.
Going back to first principles can mean
re-opening issues that have lain dormant for years, and allows no
room for sacred cows or 'undiscussables'. For strategy work to
be truly effective, the importance of gaining the commitment of
stakeholders to a fundamental re-think can not be understated.
It is also important to nurture a conducive
culture and working style - one in which norms can be challenged
and creative ideas are encouraged. 'Greenhousing', or protecting
creative ideas that are generated in brainstorms, is an important
way of encouraging innovative and fresh approaches to an issue
rather than immediately finding faults or flaws in an idea.
Stepping outside of the current situation, and
identifying and setting aside current assumptions requires space and
time to think. This is naturally easier in the context of clearly
defined strategy projects than in business-as-usual situations.
However, it is equally important in both situations if strategy is
to be not only developed effectively but also fine-tuned to remain
effective in response to a changing environment.
Physically leaving the location embodying the
current situation through an away day can be a more than symbolic
way of creating space to think. It can help to provide some useful
distance from both the environment in which prevailing assumptions
are taken for granted, and also from the more practical pressures of
day to day issues.
Keeping A First Principles Perspective
Whether developing a new
strategy, or managing the ongoing implementation of a policy, it is
valuable to develop and retain an objective first principles
perspective. Regularly asking the question 'why?' can be a
powerful way of uncovering the motivating forces shaping the
behaviour of different players in a system, and checking that the
underlying rationale, incentives and structures are still
appropriate and valid.
Designing a System From First Principles
Given the space to rethink an
approach to a policy issue, first principles thinking encourages an
explicit approach to identifying and understanding the drivers and
incentives that are together expected to determine behaviours and
hence outcomes of a system. Techniques such as Systems
Thinking and Theories of Change (described in further
detail in The Magenta Book on
Policy Hub) use similar logic and again stress the importance of
understanding the causal sequence through which an intervention is
anticipated to have its effect.
A first principles approach also encourages the
generation of 'ideal' solutions. Temporarily putting aside
issues of feasibility and acceptability allows the ideally suitable
solution to be designed. This ideal world solution can be used to
challenge resources allocation decisions and explore the political
appetite for radical change.
Strengths
- Helps to challenge implicit assumptions.
- Uncovers perverse incentives, undesired behaviours and
unintended consequences.
- Encourages a fresh approach to issues, and helps to develop
creative and innovative solutions.
Weaknesses
- Challenging the status quo can be uncomfortable, especially for
those with vested interests.
It can be very hard to challenge fixed boundaries that are not
initially open to debate and to obtain the necessary mandate and
commitment for a fundamentally re-think.
First principles thinking
In Practice: SU Alcohol Misuse Project
In the Alcohol project, going back to first principles meant asking
questions such as:
- Why should Government intervene/have a role at all?
- What should the overall goals of government policy in relation to
alcohol be? Maximising well-being? Or reducing harm?
- Where is the line between the responsibilities of the state and the
responsibilities of the individual?
- What are the rights and responsibilities of other actors in tackling
alcohol-related harm - e.g. should the alcohol industry be required to
internalise the externalities of its products?
- Should we be taking whole population measures to tackle
alcohol-related harm (e.g. by increasing price), or should we target
particular harm-causing groups (e.g. young binge-drinkers?)
- Is alcohol a drug like any other? Would it be legal if it were
invented today?
- What is alcohol-related harm? Harm to the drinker? Harm to drinker's
friends/family? Harm to wider society? Are some types of harm more
serious than others?
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